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Gameweek 8 briefing

FPL Gameweek 8: the transfer, the armband and the outliers

B.Fernandes (MUN) leads the Gameweek 8 projections on 4.5 expected points, with Saka on 4.5 as the safer runner-up. Below: the strongest buys in each position, the players whose underlying numbers say a return is overdue, the fixture runs turning kind, and where the market is heading. Deadline: Friday 23 October at 17:30 UTC.

Captain shortlist for Gameweek 8

Ranked by expected points for this gameweek alone: fixture difficulty, expected goals and assists, clean-sheet odds and how likely each player is to start.

  • B.FernandesMUN · MID · £12.0m · 42.0% ownedBOU (H) · CHE (A) · AVL (H)4.5 xPts
  • SakaARS · MID · £9.5m · 12.0% ownedEVE (H) · LIV (A) · HUL (H)4.5 xPts
  • RogersCHE · MID · £7.7m · 37.1% ownedTOT (H) · MUN (H) · SUN (A)4.4 xPts
  • IsakLIV · FWD · £9.1m · 22.2% ownedBHA (H) · ARS (H) · CRY (A)4.3 xPts
  • MbeumoMUN · MID · £7.9m · 23.0% ownedBOU (H) · CHE (A) · AVL (H)4.3 xPts
  • CherkiMCI · MID · £7.8m · 28.6% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)4.2 xPts

Best GKP picks

Highest projected return over the next five gameweeks. Injured, suspended and doubtful players are left out.

  • RayaARS · GKP · £6.0m · 40.2% ownedEVE (H) · LIV (A) · HUL (H)19.5 xPts
  • TraffordLEE · GKP · £5.0m · 5.4% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)19.2 xPts
  • DonnarummaMCI · GKP · £5.5m · 7.6% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)18.9 xPts
  • TzolakisHUL · GKP · £4.6m · 10.7% ownedBRE (H) · IPS (H) · ARS (A)18.8 xPts

Best DEF picks

Highest projected return over the next five gameweeks. Injured, suspended and doubtful players are left out.

  • BogleLEE · DEF · £4.5m · 2.4% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)22.7 xPts
  • MukieleSUN · DEF · £5.4m · 2.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)21.9 xPts
  • GuéhiMCI · DEF · £6.0m · 18.5% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)20.5 xPts
  • MuharemovićLEE · DEF · £5.0m · 3.9% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)19.4 xPts

Best MID picks

Highest projected return over the next five gameweeks. Injured, suspended and doubtful players are left out.

  • B.FernandesMUN · MID · £12.0m · 42.0% ownedBOU (H) · CHE (A) · AVL (H)21.4 xPts
  • SakaARS · MID · £9.5m · 12.0% ownedEVE (H) · LIV (A) · HUL (H)21.0 xPts
  • CherkiMCI · MID · £7.8m · 28.6% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)20.3 xPts
  • E.Le FéeSUN · MID · £5.8m · 4.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)20.2 xPts

Best FWD picks

Highest projected return over the next five gameweeks. Injured, suspended and doubtful players are left out.

  • HaalandMCI · FWD · £15.5m · 72.2% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)21.1 xPts
  • IsakLIV · FWD · £9.1m · 22.2% ownedBHA (H) · ARS (H) · CRY (A)19.0 xPts
  • João PedroCHE · FWD · £7.8m · 75.1% ownedTOT (H) · MUN (H) · SUN (A)18.0 xPts
  • Calvert-LewinLEE · FWD · £6.0m · 22.0% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)17.5 xPts

Outliers: due a return

These players have created far more than they have scored or assisted. That gap usually closes, and the price often has not caught up yet.

  • ThiagoBRE · FWD · £7.9m · 9.8% ownedHUL (A) · NFO (H) · BHA (A)+2.5
  • BarryEVE · FWD · £5.6m · 6.5% ownedARS (A) · NEW (A) · COV (H)+2.1
  • E.Le FéeSUN · MID · £5.8m · 4.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)+1.9
  • RudoniCOV · MID · £5.0m · 0.1% ownedFUL (H) · SUN (H) · EVE (A)+1.7
  • BobbFUL · MID · £5.5m · 0.3% ownedCOV (A) · AVL (A) · NEW (H)+1.4
  • SilvaBOU · DEF · £5.0m · 0.4% ownedMUN (A) · LEE (H) · IPS (A)+1.1

Outliers: running hot

Scoring well above their underlying numbers. Not a sell on its own, but be careful paying a premium for a run that the chances do not support.

  • João PedroCHE · FWD · £7.8m · 75.1% ownedTOT (H) · MUN (H) · SUN (A)-3.6
  • GroßBHA · MID · £5.6m · 18.0% ownedLIV (A) · MCI (A) · BRE (H)-2.7
  • GvardiolMCI · DEF · £5.7m · 22.4% ownedAVL (A) · BHA (H) · NFO (A)-2.7
  • GakpoLIV · MID · £7.2m · 12.2% ownedBHA (H) · ARS (H) · CRY (A)-2.3
  • PalmerCHE · MID · £9.7m · 26.8% ownedTOT (H) · MUN (H) · SUN (A)-2.2
  • De CuyperBHA · DEF · £4.8m · 23.3% ownedLIV (A) · MCI (A) · BRE (H)-2.0

Differentials under 8% owned

Where the rank is won. Strong five-gameweek projections that most of your mini-league does not own.

  • BogleLEE · DEF · £4.5m · 2.4% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)22.7 xPts
  • MukieleSUN · DEF · £5.4m · 2.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)21.9 xPts
  • E.Le FéeSUN · MID · £5.8m · 4.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)20.2 xPts
  • TavernierBOU · MID · £6.1m · 5.0% ownedMUN (A) · LEE (H) · IPS (A)20.2 xPts
  • MuharemovićLEE · DEF · £5.0m · 3.9% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)19.4 xPts
  • TraffordLEE · GKP · £5.0m · 5.4% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)19.2 xPts

Best value under £6.0m

Most projected points per million spent — the picks that free up money elsewhere in your squad.

  • BogleLEE · DEF · £4.5m · 2.4% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)5.0 /£m
  • EganHUL · DEF · £4.1m · 6.7% ownedBRE (H) · IPS (H) · ARS (A)4.5 /£m
  • DavisIPS · DEF · £4.0m · 6.0% ownedNFO (H) · HUL (A) · BOU (H)4.2 /£m
  • TzolakisHUL · GKP · £4.6m · 10.7% ownedBRE (H) · IPS (H) · ARS (A)4.1 /£m
  • MukieleSUN · DEF · £5.4m · 2.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)4.0 /£m
  • AjayiHUL · DEF · £4.2m · 13.6% ownedBRE (H) · IPS (H) · ARS (A)4.0 /£m

Defensive contribution engines

Players clearing the defensive contribution threshold most regularly, so the two bonus points land more often than not.

  • EganHUL · DEF · £4.1m · 6.7% ownedBRE (H) · IPS (H) · ARS (A)2.29x
  • MukieleSUN · DEF · £5.4m · 2.1% ownedLEE (H) · COV (A) · CHE (H)2.17x
  • MuharemovićLEE · DEF · £5.0m · 3.9% ownedSUN (A) · BOU (A) · TOT (H)2.08x
  • KhalailiCRY · DEF · £5.0m · 0.3% ownedNEW (H) · TOT (A) · LIV (H)1.97x
  • LacroixCHE · DEF · £6.0m · 7.5% ownedTOT (H) · MUN (H) · SUN (A)1.92x
  • RichardsCRY · DEF · £5.0m · 0.6% ownedNEW (H) · TOT (A) · LIV (H)1.83x

Fixture swings over the next five

Kindest runs

  • Coventry CityFUL (H) · SUN (H) · EVE (A) · CRY (H) · LEE (A)2.60
  • Crystal PalaceNEW (H) · TOT (A) · LIV (H) · COV (A) · HUL (H)2.60
  • Aston VillaMCI (H) · FUL (H) · MUN (A) · SUN (H) · IPS (A)2.80
  • BournemouthMUN (A) · LEE (H) · IPS (A) · NFO (H) · FUL (A)2.80
  • Ipswich TownNFO (H) · HUL (A) · BOU (H) · TOT (A) · AVL (H)2.80

Toughest runs

  • EvertonARS (A) · NEW (A) · COV (H) · BRE (A) · LIV (H)3.40
  • Man UtdBOU (H) · CHE (A) · AVL (H) · LIV (A) · BRE (H)3.40
  • ArsenalEVE (H) · LIV (A) · HUL (H) · NEW (A) · MCI (H)3.20
  • BrightonLIV (A) · MCI (A) · BRE (H) · HUL (A) · NEW (H)3.20
  • FulhamCOV (A) · AVL (A) · NEW (H) · MCI (A) · BOU (H)3.20

Lower is easier. Scores are the official fixture difficulty ratings averaged over the next five games.

What the market is doing this week

Most bought

  • Rogers CHE+304k
  • Gvardiol MCI+195k
  • Groß BHA+180k
  • Gibbs-White NFO+166k
  • Schade BRE+164k

Most sold

  • Szoboszlai LIV-188k
  • Shaw MUN-124k
  • Pedro Porro TOT-114k
  • Tzolis ARS-106k
  • Thiago BRE-92k

Net transfers this gameweek. Heavy buying usually means a price rise is close. See price changes.

Availability watch

Widely owned players carrying an injury, suspension or rotation flag. These are already discounted in the projections and never suggested as a buy.

  • ElangaNEW · 10.7% owned · InjuredUnspecified injury - Unknown return date
  • ShawMUN · 10.6% owned · 75% chance to playUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Pedro PorroTOT · 9.5% owned · 75% chance to playUnspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
  • MendyHUL · 7.5% owned · 50% chance to playConcussion - 50% chance of playing
  • CashAVL · 5.5% owned · 75% chance to playMuscular injury - 75% chance of playing

More for Gameweek 8

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Projections are built from public Fantasy Premier League data and refresh every gameweek. We never ask for your FPL login.